January 25, 2012 9:20 AM UTC

New York Giants vs New England Patriots 2/5/2012

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The New England Patriots are favorites with a 60% chance to beat the New York Giants. Eli Manning is projected for more yards and TD passes than Tom Brady. In simulations Manning has 306 yards and 2.4 TDs per sim vs 299 yards and 2.3 TDs for Brady. The edge for the Patriots is due to the 1.3 INTs that Manning is having vs the 0.9 that Brady is averaging. The Patriots RBs are also averaging over 4 ypc vs just under 4 ypc for the Giants. If the Patriots do not get the edge in turnovers and the Giants RBs do a solid job with 4.5 ypc then NY is the 57% favorite. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NE -3.5 --- Over/Under line is 55

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

New York GiantsATS RECORDNew England PatriotsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games11-7-1All Games10-8-0New York Giants
Road Games7-3-0Home Games5-5-0New York Giants
When Underdog7-2-0When Favored9-8-0New York Giants
Non-Division Opp8-4-1Non-Division Opp6-6-0New York Giants
Opp .500+ Record4-2-1Opp .500+ Record5-4-0New York Giants

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

New York GiantsATS RECORDNew England PatriotsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-9-0All Games11-6-0New England Patriots
Road Games4-4-0Home Games5-4-0New England Patriots
When Underdog2-3-0When Favored8-6-0New England Patriots
Non-Division Opp5-5-0Non-Division Opp7-3-0New England Patriots
Opp .500+ Record3-4-0Opp .500+ Record5-2-0New England Patriots

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York GiantsO-U-P RECORDNew England PatriotsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)9-9-1All Totals (O-U-P)12-6-0OVER
On Road6-4-0At Home6-4-0OVER
All Totals Last Season8-7-1All Totals Last Season14-3-0OVER
On Road Last Season4-4-0At Home Last Season8-1-0OVER

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