New York Giants vs New England Patriots 2/5/2012
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The New England Patriots are favorites with a 60% chance to beat the New York Giants. Eli Manning is projected for more yards and TD passes than Tom Brady. In simulations Manning has 306 yards and 2.4 TDs per sim vs 299 yards and 2.3 TDs for Brady. The edge for the Patriots is due to the 1.3 INTs that Manning is having vs the 0.9 that Brady is averaging. The Patriots RBs are also averaging over 4 ypc vs just under 4 ypc for the Giants. If the Patriots do not get the edge in turnovers and the Giants RBs do a solid job with 4.5 ypc then NY is the 57% favorite. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NE -3.5 --- Over/Under line is 55
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| New York Giants | ATS RECORD | New England Patriots | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 11-7-1 | All Games | 10-8-0 | New York Giants |
| Road Games | 7-3-0 | Home Games | 5-5-0 | New York Giants |
| When Underdog | 7-2-0 | When Favored | 9-8-0 | New York Giants |
| Non-Division Opp | 8-4-1 | Non-Division Opp | 6-6-0 | New York Giants |
| Opp .500+ Record | 4-2-1 | Opp .500+ Record | 5-4-0 | New York Giants |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| New York Giants | ATS RECORD | New England Patriots | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 7-9-0 | All Games | 11-6-0 | New England Patriots |
| Road Games | 4-4-0 | Home Games | 5-4-0 | New England Patriots |
| When Underdog | 2-3-0 | When Favored | 8-6-0 | New England Patriots |
| Non-Division Opp | 5-5-0 | Non-Division Opp | 7-3-0 | New England Patriots |
| Opp .500+ Record | 3-4-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 5-2-0 | New England Patriots |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New York Giants | O-U-P RECORD | New England Patriots | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 9-9-1 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 12-6-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 6-4-0 | At Home | 6-4-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 8-7-1 | All Totals Last Season | 14-3-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 4-4-0 | At Home Last Season | 8-1-0 | OVER |
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