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Houston Rockets @ Dallas Mavericks
Both teams still need to win this game.  Houston is fighting Portland for the 3-seed.  Dallas could conceivable choose its opponent; a win matchs them up with the Rockets, a loss gives them Denver.  While it is difficult to predict the Mavs thinking, a Rockets team that is lacking a true perimeter playmaker and in-state rival might seem a more tantalizing proposition.  Dallas is winning 60% of simulations and are the pick.

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