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Using the Daily Line Reports to Find “Hot Trends”

Special Subscribers Only Podcast: This Weekends Best 4 AccuScore Plays Explained Using the DLR

We often get the question “what is the best method in picking games? Should I go with games that are only 60% or higher?” Our answer to this is an emphatic “No!" If you are going to play a game and subscribe to our service, we hope you use our service to create the advantage that you paid for. The Daily Line Report is where AccuScore members can find that advantage.

Below is an example of how I have used the DLR to find the hot trends for the NFL season and then applied them to the specific games. Here are the top trends that we have noticed.

Totals

AccuScore O/U selections are 80% in NFC East divisional games

AccuScore O/U selections are 68% when NFC North plays Non-NFC North Teams

AccuScore’s O/U selection is 67% in games where the number is 37.5 or less

AccuScore’s O/U selection is 62% in games where the home teams is favored by 7 or more

These are high percentage trends and serve as a great parameter for determining games. My next step is to look deeper into the games that fit into one of the above scenarios. While there are several, I have found three (3) games where that produced sustainable trends under my starting parameters.

Bengals/Raiders Over/Under (36) Click here for AccuScore's Pick in this gameEDGE

• 67% when O/U is less than 37.5
• 57% (26-20) when Vegas total and Sim total differ by 0.5-1.5
• 60% (12-8) when AFC North plays Non-AFC North Teams
• 58% (11-8-3) when AFC West plays Non-AFC West Teams
• 75% (6-2) in o/u picks when Raiders play
• 56% (5-4) in o/u picks when Bengals play

Cowboys/Redskins Over/Under (41.5) Click here for AccuScore's Pick in this gameEDGE

• 80% (4-1) in totals of NFC East divisional games
• 61% (31-20) accuracy in o/u picks in NFC games
• 62% (26-16) accuracy in Totals when home team is favored by 7 or more
• 59% (44-30) accuracy in picks when the total number is between 38-44.5
• 67% (6-3) in o/u picks when Redskins play
• 62% (5-3-1) in o/u picks when Cowboys play

Packers/49ers Over/Under (41.5) Click here for AccuScore's Pick in this gameEDGE

• 68% (15-7) when NFC North plays Non-NFC North Teams
• 59% (13-9) when NFC West plays Non-NFC West Teams
• 61% (31-20) accuracy in o/u picks in NFC games
• 55% (16-13) accuracy in Totals when home team is favored between 3.5-6.5
• 59% (44-30) accuracy in picks when the total number is between 38-44.5
• 62% (5-3-1) in o/u picks when Packers play
• 50% (4-4) in o/u picks when the 49ers play

ATS

AccuScore ATS selections are 100% in 7-0 in AFC East divisional games
AccuScore ATS selections are 100% in 7-0 in NFC North divisional games
AccuScore ATS selections are 67% when the Vegas line and Sim line differ by 4-5.5 points
AccuScore ATS selections are 61% in NFC games
AccuScore ATS selections are 59% when NFC East plays Non-NFC East Teams

As I did with Totals, I used the above trends as a starting point to find games. After going in and out of the tabs on the DLR, there was only one game where I could find multiple hot trends to support my starting parameters.

Patriots/Jets Point Spread Click here for AccuScore's Pick in this gameEDGE

• 100% (7-0) in AFC East Match-ups
• 54% (21-18-6) in games when the home team is favored by 7 or more
• 62% (13-8) when the Vegas line and Sim line differ by 3-3.5
• 67% (6-3) in ATS picks when the Jets play
• 57% (4-3) in ATS picks when the Patriots play

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